MTL 59% @ CHI 41%TBL 50% @ COL 50%MODEL v0.2.0LAST RUN OCT 23, 3:45 PM ET5,248 GAMES BACKTESTED59.1% PICKEDMTL 59% @ CHI 41%TBL 50% @ COL 50%MODEL v0.2.0LAST RUN OCT 23, 3:45 PM ET5,248 GAMES BACKTESTED59.1% PICKED
CHI
Chicago Blackhawks
#31 Puckigree · −11.23-6-0 · 31st in standingsCentral · Western
As deployed last game
Oct 17 vs DAL, from shift data: the most-used combinations at 5v5, not a projection.
Forward lines with 24+ minutes together at 5v5. The big number is chance share (xGF%) shrunk toward the team’s 41.9% until a line has enough chances of its own; hover it for the raw value.
Greene line
Greenway – Greene – Smith
52.6%chance share xGF%
67 min · 8 GPGF–GA 1–0CF% 53OZ 29%
Top 56%Depth 26%
Frondell line
Bertuzzi – Frondell – Teravainen
43.4%chance share xGF%
40 min · 6 GPGF–GA 2–0CF% 51OZ 64%
Top 62%Mid 27%
Nazar line
Nazar – Kane – Kantserov
40.9%chance share xGF%
32 min · 6 GPGF–GA 0–1CF% 44OZ 67%
Top 57%Mid 21%Depth 22%
Bertuzzi–Frondell–Kantserov
Bertuzzi – Frondell – Kantserov
42.7%chance share xGF%
25 min · 6 GPGF–GA 1–1CF% 44OZ 59%
Top 73%Depth 19%
Which lines are workingper 60 at 5v5
Every dot is a forward line with 24+ minutes; grey dots are the rest of the league. Lines are centred on the league’s median line.
Line stability
Top 4 lines’ share of line time42%League rank16th most stableLines used 5+ minutes15Games with shift data8 (1 left out)
Stable lines are a coach’s choice, not a grade. Games are left out when the NHL’s shift chart is missing or doesn’t match the box score.
Defence pairs
Pair
Min
GP
xGF%
CF%
GF–GA
OZ%
vs top
Vlasic–Cole
79
8
40.9
46.9
2–1
27
78%
Levshunov–Kaiser
70
8
38.9
45.7
0–4
56
50%
Kaiser–Rinzel
54
7
40.4
55.4
3–5
50
42%
Power play and penalty kill units
The five skaters at 5-on-4 and the four at 4-on-5, with 5+ minutes together.
Unit
Skaters
Min
GF–GA
xGF/60
xGA/60
PP1
Kane, Kantserov, Bertuzzi, Frondell, Byram
13
0–0
4.37
0.00
PP2
Kane, Kantserov, Bertuzzi, Teravainen, Bedard
6
0–0
7.82
2.41
PK1
Vlasic, Cole, Frondell, Teravainen
5
0–0
0.00
11.89
Every line
All forward lines with 10+ minutes together at 5v5. Raw and shrunk chance share side by side; k = 4 expected goals.