Who's getting in?
We play out the rest of the season 10,000 times, game by game, using each team's Team Puckigree and how unsure we still are about it. Then we run the bracket. The odds are how often each thing happened.
Eastern
| Team | Points | Playoffs | Div | R2 | Conf F | Final | Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Hurricanes | 111 98–124 | 95% | 55% | 62% | 38% | 21% | 12% |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 110 95–124 | 91% | 43% | 57% | 34% | 19% | 11% |
| Boston Bruins | 107 93–121 | 87% | 32% | 50% | 27% | 14% | 8% |
| Washington Capitals | 100 84–115 | 69% | 17% | 38% | 18% | 9% | 5% |
| New York Rangers | 99 84–114 | 67% | 13% | 33% | 16% | 8% | 4% |
| Ottawa Senators | 99 83–114 | 64% | 12% | 31% | 15% | 7% | 4% |
| New York Islanders | 94 79–108 | 48% | 6% | 20% | 8% | 4% | 2% |
| New Jersey Devils | 93 78–108 | 48% | 6% | 20% | 8% | 4% | 2% |
| Montréal Canadiens | 93 79–106 | 42% | 4% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 1% |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 92 78–106 | 41% | 3% | 16% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Buffalo Sabres | 90 76–105 | 35% | 3% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Detroit Red Wings | 89 75–103 | 31% | 2% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Florida Panthers | 88 74–103 | 28% | 2% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 86 72–100 | 22% | 1% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 84 70–98 | 18% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | 82 67–97 | 14% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
Western
| Team | Points | Playoffs | Div | R2 | Conf F | Final | Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Oilers | 110 96–124 | 95% | 57% | 61% | 37% | 19% | 10% |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 103 88–117 | 85% | 26% | 50% | 26% | 13% | 6% |
| Colorado Avalanche | 104 89–119 | 82% | 26% | 47% | 27% | 16% | 9% |
| Dallas Stars | 103 89–117 | 79% | 20% | 41% | 21% | 11% | 5% |
| Minnesota Wild | 102 87–116 | 77% | 19% | 39% | 19% | 10% | 5% |
| Utah Mammoth | 101 86–115 | 75% | 17% | 36% | 18% | 9% | 4% |
| Seattle Kraken | 96 81–110 | 63% | 10% | 28% | 11% | 4% | 2% |
| St. Louis Blues | 96 80–112 | 58% | 10% | 26% | 13% | 6% | 3% |
| Winnipeg Jets | 94 79–108 | 50% | 6% | 21% | 9% | 4% | 2% |
| Nashville Predators | 88 73–103 | 32% | 3% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Los Angeles Kings | 86 71–101 | 29% | 2% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| San Jose Sharks | 86 73–100 | 29% | 2% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Anaheim Ducks | 83 68–98 | 22% | 1% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Calgary Flames | 80 64–96 | 17% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 76 62–90 | 6% | <1% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Vancouver Canucks | 67 54–79 | 1% | 0% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Click a team in the tables to follow it here.
Each game is played out from the two teams' ratings, with home ice, and about one in five goes past regulation for the extra point. Ties in the standings are broken the way the NHL does it (points, then regulation wins, then regulation and overtime wins, then wins). The top three in each division and two wild cards per conference get in, and each series is a best of seven. The line under each table is the cut. Presidents' Trophy: Carolina Hurricanes 18%, Tampa Bay Lightning 15%, Edmonton Oilers 14%.Models: Playoffs 1.0 · Ratings 0.2.0