Colorado Avalanche
Why #4
Puckigree#4 · +8.2Standings17thChance share (xGF% 5v5)9thSchedule faced24th hardest
Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.
CF%52.511th of 32
GF/GP4.102nd of 32
GA/GP3.0012th of 32
PP%18.823rd of 32
PK%82.611th of 32
PDO105.33rd of 32
SV% 5v5.91013th of 32
SF/GP30.65th of 32
Playoff odds
From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.Make the playoffs82%
Win the division26%
Win the Cup9%
Projected points10489–119
Player Puckigree
How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →Roster total+9.3goals above replacement · 17th of 32
Forwards +7.3Defence +2.8Goalies −0.7
Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.
Chances
From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+4.3
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+2.1
Finishing GF−xGF+9.1
Goaltending GSAx−2.6
Goal difference GD+13
Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.
Record by the chances
Chances say6-3-112.8 pts
Actually5-4-111 pts
Results match the chances.
xGF% 5v553.79th of 32
HDCF% 5v547.321st of 32
GF−xGF+9.13rd of 32
GSAx−2.620th of 32
LeadersFull roster →
- CNathan MacKinnon6-10-16
- LArtturi Lehkonen8-3-11
- CMartin Necas5-6-11
- DCale Makar3-8-11
- CBrock Nelson3-5-8
- GMackenzie Blackwood7 GP · .889
- GScott Wedgewood3 GP · .912
Source: NHL.com data. Results through Oct 22.