Colorado Avalanche
Why #1 at season’s end
Puckigree#1 · +13.1Standings1stChance share (xGF% 5v5)1stSchedule faced31st hardest
Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.
Final
Record55-16-11Points121Games82Goals for – against302–203
CF%56.42nd of 32
GF/GP3.631st of 32
GA/GP2.401st of 32
PP%17.127th of 32
PK%84.61st of 32
PDO102.13rd of 32
SV% 5v5.9221st of 32
SF/GP33.71st of 32
Playoff odds
From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way86%
Player Puckigree
How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →Roster total+155.0goals above replacement · 1st of 32
Forwards +79.4Defence +32.3Goalies +43.3
Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.
Chances
From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+52.6
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+10.3
Finishing GF−xGF+0.2
Goaltending GSAx+27.9
Goal difference GD+91
Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.
Record by the chances
Chances say51-25-6107.9 pts
Actually55-16-11121 pts
13.1 points ahead of their chances.
xGF% 5v557.31st of 32
HDCF% 5v555.33rd of 32
GF−xGF+0.217th of 32
GSAx+27.93rd of 32
LeadersFull roster →
- CNathan MacKinnon53-74-127
- CMartin Necas38-62-100
- DCale Makar20-59-79
- CBrock Nelson33-32-65
- RValeri Nichushkin17-32-49
- GScott Wedgewood45 GP · .921
- GMackenzie Blackwood39 GP · .903
- GTrent Miner4 GP · .933
Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 16.