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Edmonton Oilers

#12 Puckigree (final) · +2.441-30-11 · 14th in standingsPacific · Western
Why #12 at season’s end
Puckigree#12 · +2.4Standings14thChance share (xGF% 5v5)12thSchedule faced32nd hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record41-30-11Points93Games82Goals for – against282–269
CF%50.212th of 32
GF/GP3.446th of 32
GA/GP3.2325th of 32
PP%30.61st of 32
PK%77.820th of 32
PDO98.129th of 32
SV% 5v5.89032nd of 32
SF/GP29.74th of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way33%
Playoff chance through the season: high 100% (Apr 16), low 33% (Nov 25). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+76.0goals above replacement · 13th of 32
Forwards +51.7Defence +21.0Goalies +3.2

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
McDavidC+25.3
DraisaitlC+13.7
EkholmD+13.1
IngramGSAx +2.6G+8.0
HymanL+7.3
SkinnerGSAx +2.1G+6.3
JarryGSAx −11.8G−8.6
PickardGSAx −5.4G−2.6
KapanenR−2.1

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+11.3
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+8.3
Finishing GF−xGF+4.0
Goaltending GSAx−12.5
Goal difference GD+11

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say44-32-693.8 pts
Actually41-30-1193 pts

Results match the chances.

xGF% 5v550.912th of 32
HDCF% 5v551.712th of 32
GF−xGF+4.013th of 32
GSAx−12.525th of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 16vs VANW 6-1
  • Apr 13vs COLOTL 1-2
  • Apr 11@ LAKL 0-1
  • Apr 8@ SJSW 5-2
  • Apr 7@ UTAOTL 5-6

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 16.

ESC
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  • PAGE Playoff odds and the Cup
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  • PAGE What if? Player swap change a roster
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