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Edmonton Oilers

#10 Puckigree (final) · +5.148-29-5 · 9th in standingsPacific · Western
Why #10 at season’s end
Puckigree#10 · +5.1Standings9thChance share (xGF% 5v5)3rdSchedule faced31st hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record48-29-5Points101Games82Goals for – against259–236
CF%53.93rd of 32
GF/GP3.1611th of 32
GA/GP2.8714th of 32
PP%23.712th of 32
PK%78.216th of 32
PDO98.329th of 32
SV% 5v5.90323rd of 32
SF/GP32.01st of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way36%
Playoff chance through the season: high 100% (Apr 14), low 36% (Oct 19). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+84.9goals above replacement · 12th of 32
Forwards +56.8Defence +20.9Goalies +7.2

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
DraisaitlC+20.9
McDavidC+15.1
EkholmD+9.9
HymanL+9.2
SkinnerGSAx −1.2G+7.9
KulakD+6.2
KlingbergD−2.4
StecherD−2.2
KapanenR−1.3

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+43.3
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+4.4
Finishing GF−xGF−20.0
Goaltending GSAx−7.7
Goal difference GD+20

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say48-28-6102.7 pts
Actually48-29-5101 pts

Results match the chances.

xGF% 5v554.53rd of 32
HDCF% 5v556.32nd of 32
GF−xGF−20.028th of 32
GSAx−7.720th of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 16@ SJSW 3-0
  • Apr 14vs LAKL 0-5
  • Apr 13@ WPGW 4-1
  • Apr 11vs SJSW 4-2
  • Apr 9vs STLW 4-3

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 17.

ESC
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