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Edmonton Oilers

#2 Puckigree (final) · +11.250-23-9 · 6th in standingsPacific · Western
Why #2 at season’s end
Puckigree#2 · +11.2Standings6thChance share (xGF% 5v5)7thSchedule faced32nd hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record50-23-9Points109Games82Goals for – against325–260
CF%52.37th of 32
GF/GP3.961st of 32
GA/GP3.1217th of 32
PP%32.41st of 32
PK%77.020th of 32
PDO100.614th of 32
SV% 5v5.91415th of 32
SF/GP33.66th of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way64%
Playoff chance through the season: high 100% (Mar 20), low 64% (Jan 12). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+97.9goals above replacement · 5th of 32
Forwards +72.1Defence +8.0Goalies +17.8

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
SkinnerGSAx +21.3G+31.0
McDavidC+27.7
DraisaitlC+16.4
HymanL+7.0
FoegeleL+5.5
RyanC+4.3
CampbellGSAx −19.6G−13.2
KaneL−2.8
JanmarkC−2.0

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+31.1
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+13.3
Finishing GF−xGF+14.9
Goaltending GSAx+1.6
Goal difference GD+61

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say47-29-6100.2 pts
Actually50-23-9109 pts

8.8 points ahead of their chances.

xGF% 5v553.97th of 32
HDCF% 5v557.42nd of 32
GF−xGF+14.96th of 32
GSAx+1.615th of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 13vs SJSW 5-2
  • Apr 11@ COLW 2-1
  • Apr 8@ SJSW 6-1
  • Apr 5@ ANAW 3-1
  • Apr 4@ LAKW 3-1

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 14.

ESC
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  • PAGE Playoff odds and the Cup
  • PAGE Compare two teams any matchup
  • PAGE What if? Player swap change a roster
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