Charts

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Charts built from Puckigree’s rankings, expected goals and lines. Each one has its own page, a 1080×1350 image and a ready-made caption. They refresh with every data update (results through Oct 22).

New · ExplorerThe whole league, one chartEvery forward, defenceman or goalie on the stats you pick. Highlight a team, then save the view as an image.

Tonight's NHL games with win chances: MTL 59% at CHI 41%; TBL 50% at COL 50%.

Tonight’s oddsEVERY GAME DAY

Chance to make the NHL playoffs by conference: Eastern: CAR 95%, TBL 91%, BOS 87%, WSH 69%, NYR 67%, OTT 64%, NYI 48%, NJD 48%, MTL 42%, TOR 41%, BUF 35%, DET 31%, FLA 28%, PHI 22%, PIT 18%, CBJ 14%. Western: EDM 95%, VGK 85%, COL 82%, DAL 79%, MIN 77%, UTA 75%, SEA 63%, STL 58%, WPG 50%, NSH 32%, LAK 29%, SJS 29%, ANA 22%, CGY 17%, CHI 6%, VAN 1%.

The playoff pictureWED

Twelve NHL teams whose Puckigree rank differs most from their standings place. COL 17th › 4th; WSH 21st › 9th; DAL 12th › 6th; TBL 7th › 2nd; STL 18th › 13th; WPG 19th › 14th; SJS 13th › 28th; SEA 5th › 20th; TOR 11th › 19th; FLA 16th › 23rd; NYR 6th › 12th; VGK 4th › 7th.

Better than their record?MON

Scatter of 32 NHL teams: 5v5 expected-goal share against Puckigree rating. CAR 59.3%, +11.0; TBL 56.0%, +9.9; EDM 49.3%, +8.3; COL 53.7%, +8.2; BOS 53.1%, +7.9; DAL 51.2%, +5.7; VGK 54.7%, +5.1; MIN 54.2%, +5.0; WSH 50.4%, +5.0; UTA 59.6%, +4.0; OTT 50.9%, +3.5; NYR 50.8%, +3.0; STL 50.7%, +1.4; WPG 43.8%, +0.3; NYI 51.7%, +0.1; NJD 61.7%, −0.2; MTL 54.2%, −0.3; BUF 53.3%, −0.6; TOR 45.7%, −0.8; SEA 44.5%, −0.9; DET 51.5%, −2.4; NSH 44.6%, −3.1; FLA 53.8%, −3.2; PHI 35.6%, −3.2; PIT 53.7%, −4.4; LAK 49.1%, −4.6; CBJ 49.1%, −6.3; SJS 42.7%, −6.4; ANA 44.5%, −6.8; CGY 47.6%, −7.9; CHI 41.0%, −11.2; VAN 38.1%, −16.1.

Chances vs resultsTUE

Scatter of NHL teams: finishing (goals minus expected goals) against team goaltending (goals saved above expected). CAR −0.1, −2.3; TBL −1.1, +2.9; EDM +14.3, −3.2; COL +9.1, −2.6; BOS +6.3, +12.3; DAL −4.8, +10.4; VGK +2.5, −4.3; MIN −5.8, +3.9; WSH −1.2, +5.6; UTA +1.5, −7.1; OTT −3.5, +2.4; NYR −3.4, +5.8; STL +4.3, −2.8; WPG −0.7, +4.3; NYI −0.9, +11.0; NJD −5.0, −6.1; MTL −1.6, −4.9; BUF −3.1, −4.5; TOR +4.9, +2.1; SEA +10.9, +1.0; DET −5.4, +3.4; NSH −3.3, −0.4; FLA −4.9, −3.2; PHI −8.8, +6.4; PIT +0.3, −1.5; LAK −4.2, −3.7; CBJ −4.6, −1.8; SJS −0.8, +6.9; ANA −0.9, +2.9; CGY −6.2, −7.2; CHI −2.4, −4.4; VAN +7.7, −10.9.

Hot sticks, hot goaliesWED

NHL teams furthest above and below the points their chances were worth: EDM +5.6; BOS +5.5; SEA +5.4; SJS +4.4; TBL +2.7; NYI +2.1; PIT −3.3; LAK −2.9; VAN −2.5; NJD −2.5; CGY −1.9; FLA −1.8.

Points vs the chancesTHU

Top ten NHL forward lines by shrunk 5v5 expected-goal share: 1. Lee · Hayton · Yamamoto (UTA) 70.3%; 2. Crouse · Hayton · McBain (UTA) 66.3%; 3. Carrier · Aho · Svechnikov (CAR) 65.9%; 4. Bratt · Hughes · Gritsyuk (NJD) 65.8%; 5. Kaprizov · Boldy · Eriksson Ek (MIN) 65.5%; 6. Texier · Danault · Bolduc (MTL) 65.5%; 7. Bratt · Hughes · Mantha (NJD) 65.3%; 8. Glass · Boqvist · Lombardi (NJD) 64.4%; 9. Hischier · Meier · Evangelista (NJD) 63.4%; 10. Johnston · Steel · Rantanen (DAL) 63.1%.

The best lines so farFRI

Goalies with the most and fewest goals saved above expected: Oettinger (DAL) +9.8; Ullmark (OTT) +8.3; Swayman (BOS) +7.9; Sorokin (NYI) +7.5; Wallstedt (MIN) +6.1; Shesterkin (NYR) +4.8; Tarasov (DET) +4.8; Lankinen (VAN) −12.9; Wolf (CGY) −7.7; Dobes (MTL) −6.6; Ersson (OTT) −5.9; Binnington (STL) −5.4.

Goals saved above expectedSAT

NHL teams whose Puckigree rank moved most over the last 7 game nights: NYI 22nd › 15th; DAL 11th › 6th; NJD 21st › 16th; PHI 29th › 24th; EDM 7th › 3rd; BOS 9th › 5th; ANA 20th › 29th; PIT 19th › 25th; FLA 17th › 23rd; BUF 14th › 18th; UTA 6th › 10th; MIN 4th › 8th.

Biggest moversSUN

This week’s posting plan

One chart a day, plus tonight’s odds on game days. Open a chart to copy its caption or share it.

Mon	Better than their record?Better than their record: Colorado Avalanche, 17th in the standings but 4th by Puckigree. Softer than they look: San Jose Sharks, 13th › 28th. #COL #SJS #NHL
Tue	Chances vs resultsWho's earning their results? New Jersey Devils are getting the chances (61.7% of 5v5 xG) but not the results yet. Edmonton Oilers are winning without them. #NHL
Wed	The playoff pictureThe playoff picture: Edmonton Oilers lead at 95%. On the bubble: WPG 50%, NYI 48%, NJD 48%. Cup favourite: CAR at 12%. #NHL Hot sticks, hot goaliesShooting and goaltending, above or below the chances: Boston Bruins are +18.6 goals combined; Calgary Flames -13.4. Streaks like these tend to cool. #BOS #CGY #NHL
Thu	Points vs the chancesIf every game's chances were replayed, Edmonton Oilers would have 11.4 points, not 17. Pittsburgh Penguins are 3.3 points short of theirs. #EDM #PIT #NHL
Fri	The best lines so farThe NHL's best forward lines by 5v5 chance share: Lee · Hayton · Yamamoto (UTA) lead at 70.3% over 50 minutes. Built from shift charts, adjusted for small samples. #NHL
Sat	Goals saved above expectedGoals saved above expected: Jake Oettinger (DAL) leads at +9.8 on 165 shots. #NHL
Sun	Biggest moversBiggest Puckigree risers this week: NYI 22nd › 15th, DAL 11th › 6th, NJD 21st › 16th. Sliding: ANA 20th › 29th, PIT 19th › 25th. #NHL
Every game day	Tonight’s oddsTonight in the NHL: 2 games. Biggest favourite: Montréal Canadiens at 59%. Closest: TBL @ COL. Odds are locked before puck drop. #NHL