Top ten NHL forward lines by shrunk 5v5 expected-goal share: 1. Lee · Hayton · Yamamoto (UTA) 70.3%; 2. Crouse · Hayton · McBain (UTA) 66.3%; 3. Carrier · Aho · Svechnikov (CAR) 65.9%; 4. Bratt · Hughes · Gritsyuk (NJD) 65.8%; 5. Kaprizov · Boldy · Eriksson Ek (MIN) 65.5%; 6. Texier · Danault · Bolduc (MTL) 65.5%; 7. Bratt · Hughes · Mantha (NJD) 65.3%; 8. Glass · Boqvist · Lombardi (NJD) 64.4%; 9. Hischier · Meier · Evangelista (NJD) 63.4%; 10. Johnston · Steel · Rantanen (DAL) 63.1%.

2026–27 · 5V5 FORWARD LINES

The best lines so far

Chance share while all three are on the ice, shrunk toward the team’s until a line has the minutes. 33+ minutes together.

Caption

The NHL's best forward lines by 5v5 chance share: Lee · Hayton · Yamamoto (UTA) lead at 70.3% over 50 minutes. Built from shift charts, adjusted for small samples. #NHL

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Data through Oct 22 · Lines 1.0 · xG 1.1

How to read it

Lines are the exact three forwards on the ice together at 5-on-5, rebuilt from the NHL’s shift charts. Chance share is shrunk toward the team’s own share until a line has enough chances of its own, so a hot 30 minutes can’t top the list.

The numbers

Line	Team	Minutes	Shrunk xGF%	GF–GA
Lee · Hayton · Yamamoto	UTA	50	70.3	3–2
Crouse · Hayton · McBain	UTA	43	66.3	1–0
Carrier · Aho · Svechnikov	CAR	95	65.9	6–6
Bratt · Hughes · Gritsyuk	NJD	48	65.8	3–2
Kaprizov · Boldy · Eriksson Ek	MIN	100	65.5	5–0
Texier · Danault · Bolduc	MTL	45	65.5	2–0
Bratt · Hughes · Mantha	NJD	42	65.3	1–1
Glass · Boqvist · Lombardi	NJD	43	64.4	3–0
Hischier · Meier · Evangelista	NJD	68	63.4	4–1
Johnston · Steel · Rantanen	DAL	44	63.1	2–1

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