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COL

Colorado Avalanche

#5 Puckigree (final) · +9.351-24-7 · 7th in standingsCentral · Western
Why #5 at season’s end
Puckigree#5 · +9.3Standings7thChance share (xGF% 5v5)9thSchedule faced28th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record51-24-7Points109Games82Goals for – against280–226
CF%52.28th of 32
GF/GP3.3410th of 32
GA/GP2.729th of 32
PP%24.56th of 32
PK%79.017th of 32
PDO101.08th of 32
SV% 5v5.9274th of 32
SF/GP33.38th of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way36%
Playoff chance through the season: high 100% (Mar 27), low 36% (Jan 12). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+88.1goals above replacement · 8th of 32
Forwards +46.1Defence +16.9Goalies +25.2

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
GeorgievGSAx +10.7G+22.6
ToewsD+12.3
MacKinnonC+10.5
MakarD+6.5
CompherL+5.2
JohnsonD−3.5
MacDermidL−2.7
AnnunenGSAx −2.8G−2.5

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+24.2
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+6.2
Finishing GF−xGF+11.3
Goaltending GSAx+9.2
Goal difference GD+51

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say46-30-698.0 pts
Actually51-24-7109 pts

11.0 points ahead of their chances.

xGF% 5v553.29th of 32
HDCF% 5v549.720th of 32
GF−xGF+11.37th of 32
GSAx+9.212th of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 14@ NSHW 4-3
  • Apr 13vs WPGW 4-2
  • Apr 11vs EDMOTL 1-2
  • Apr 9@ ANAW 5-4
  • Apr 8@ LAKW 4-3

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 14.

ESC
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  • PAGE Playoff odds and the Cup
  • PAGE Compare two teams any matchup
  • PAGE What if? Player swap change a roster
  • PAGE What if? Goalie swap replay a game