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COL

Colorado Avalanche

#7 Puckigree (final) · +6.049-29-4 · 8th in standingsCentral · Western
Why #7 at season’s end
Puckigree#7 · +6.0Standings8thChance share (xGF% 5v5)5thSchedule faced27th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record49-29-4Points102Games82Goals for – against277–234
CF%53.74th of 32
GF/GP3.336th of 32
GA/GP2.8212th of 32
PP%24.88th of 32
PK%79.812th of 32
PDO99.324th of 32
SV% 5v5.90721st of 32
SF/GP29.95th of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way26%
Playoff chance through the season: high 100% (Mar 31), low 26% (Oct 19). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+87.7goals above replacement · 11th of 32
Forwards +49.5Defence +23.6Goalies +14.6

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
MacKinnonC+22.8
BlackwoodGSAx +12.6G+19.2
WedgewoodGSAx +5.1G+8.2
ToewsD+7.7
MakarD+7.5
GirardD+6.0
GeorgievGSAx −8.4G−5.6
AnnunenGSAx −5.7G−4.1

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+34.0
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+7.3
Finishing GF−xGF−5.3
Goaltending GSAx+0.0
Goal difference GD+36

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say48-28-6102.0 pts
Actually49-29-4102 pts

Results match the chances.

xGF% 5v554.05th of 32
HDCF% 5v552.510th of 32
GF−xGF−5.320th of 32
GSAx+0.016th of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 13@ ANAW 4-2
  • Apr 12@ LAKL 4-5
  • Apr 10vs VANL 1-4
  • Apr 8vs VGKW 3-2
  • Apr 5@ STLL 4-5

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 17.

ESC
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