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COL

Colorado Avalanche

#7 Puckigree (final) · +8.150-25-7 · 8th in standingsCentral · Western
Why #7 at season’s end
Puckigree#7 · +8.1Standings8thChance share (xGF% 5v5)8thSchedule faced30th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record50-25-7Points107Games82Goals for – against304–254
CF%52.36th of 32
GF/GP3.681st of 32
GA/GP3.0717th of 32
PP%24.55th of 32
PK%79.912th of 32
PDO100.511th of 32
SV% 5v5.91022nd of 32
SF/GP33.05th of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way85%
Playoff chance through the season: high 100% (Mar 13), low 85% (Nov 13). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+76.3goals above replacement · 12th of 32
Forwards +51.9Defence +16.4Goalies +8.0

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
MacKinnonC+24.3
AnnunenGSAx +9.0G+11.8
ToewsD+10.2
DrouinL+5.2
GirardD+4.5
MakarD+4.5
WoodL−5.7
GeorgievGSAx −15.5G−3.7
ByramD−3.4

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+17.8
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+5.3
Finishing GF−xGF+29.1
Goaltending GSAx−8.2
Goal difference GD+44

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say45-31-695.6 pts
Actually50-25-7107 pts

11.4 points ahead of their chances.

xGF% 5v552.78th of 32
HDCF% 5v552.98th of 32
GF−xGF+29.11st of 32
GSAx−8.222nd of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 18vs EDMW 5-1
  • Apr 14@ VGKOTL 3-4
  • Apr 13vs WPGL 0-7
  • Apr 9vs MINW 5-2
  • Apr 7vs DALL 4-7

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 18.

ESC
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  • PAGE Playoff odds and the Cup
  • PAGE Compare two teams any matchup
  • PAGE What if? Player swap change a roster
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