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Minnesota Wild

#17 Puckigree (final) · +0.339-33-10 · 19th in standingsCentral · Western
Why #17 at season’s end
Puckigree#17 · +0.3Standings19thChance share (xGF% 5v5)13thSchedule faced16th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record39-33-10Points88Games82Goals for – against251–263
CF%49.620th of 32
GF/GP3.0221st of 32
GA/GP3.1720th of 32
PP%22.710th of 32
PK%74.530th of 32
PDO99.919th of 32
SV% 5v5.91021st of 32
SF/GP30.118th of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMissed the playoffs
Highest along the way64%
Playoff chance through the season: high 64% (Oct 16), low 0% (Apr 10). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+48.3goals above replacement · 21st of 32
Forwards +62.6Defence −6.9Goalies −7.4

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
KaprizovL+20.4
BoldyL+12.1
JohanssonL+5.2
BrodinD+4.8
FolignoL+3.5
HartmanR+3.3
FleuryGSAx −14.6G−7.4
MiddletonD−5.7
MerrillD−3.7

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+8.0
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+6.9
Finishing GF−xGF−6.3
Goaltending GSAx−23.7
Goal difference GD-15

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say43-32-793.1 pts
Actually39-33-1088 pts

5.1 points behind their chances.

xGF% 5v551.413th of 32
HDCF% 5v552.212th of 32
GF−xGF−6.321st of 32
GSAx−23.729th of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 18vs SEAL 3-4
  • Apr 15@ LAKW 3-1
  • Apr 13@ SJSW 6-2
  • Apr 12@ VGKL 2-7
  • Apr 9@ COLL 2-5

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 18.

ESC
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  • PAGE Playoff odds and the Cup
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  • PAGE What if? Player swap change a roster
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