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Minnesota Wild

#16 Puckigree (final) · +0.545-30-7 · 13th in standingsCentral · Western
Why #16 at season’s end
Puckigree#16 · +0.5Standings13thChance share (xGF% 5v5)23rdSchedule faced21st hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record45-30-7Points97Games82Goals for – against228–239
CF%48.026th of 32
GF/GP2.7425th of 32
GA/GP2.8816th of 32
PP%20.920th of 32
PK%72.430th of 32
PDO100.014th of 32
SV% 5v5.9226th of 32
SF/GP27.623rd of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way57%
Playoff chance through the season: high 100% (Apr 17), low 57% (Oct 12). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+53.7goals above replacement · 20th of 32
Forwards +45.1Defence −4.2Goalies +12.8

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
GustavssonGSAx +8.6G+20.6
BoldyL+9.1
FolignoL+6.8
RossiC+5.7
MiddletonD−5.2
FleuryGSAx −9.5G−5.0
FaberD−2.9

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD−15.1
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+0.4
Finishing GF−xGF+0.7
Goaltending GSAx−4.0
Goal difference GD-18

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say39-36-784.5 pts
Actually45-30-797 pts

12.5 points ahead of their chances.

xGF% 5v548.323rd of 32
HDCF% 5v550.116th of 32
GF−xGF+0.716th of 32
GSAx−4.018th of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 15vs ANAW 3-2
  • Apr 12@ VANW 3-2
  • Apr 11@ CGYL 2-4
  • Apr 9vs SJSW 8-7
  • Apr 6vs DALW 3-2

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 17.

ESC
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