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DAL

Dallas Stars

#6 Puckigree (final) · +6.750-26-6 · 5th in standingsCentral · Western
Why #6 at season’s end
Puckigree#6 · +6.7Standings5thChance share (xGF% 5v5)15thSchedule faced30th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record50-26-6Points106Games82Goals for – against277–224
CF%49.518th of 32
GF/GP3.353rd of 32
GA/GP2.716th of 32
PP%22.017th of 32
PK%82.04th of 32
PDO101.94th of 32
SV% 5v5.9188th of 32
SF/GP28.414th of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way79%
Playoff chance through the season: high 100% (Mar 3), low 79% (Dec 22). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+115.6goals above replacement · 2nd of 32
Forwards +53.8Defence +13.6Goalies +48.2

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
OettingerGSAx +17.1G+28.4
DeSmithGSAx +14.5G+19.8
RobertsonL+16.1
LindellD+10.1
HarleyD+10.1
HintzC+8.4
DucheneC+7.7
LyubushkinD−4.1
DumbaD−4.0
CeciD−2.3

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD−1.0
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+9.6
Finishing GF−xGF+2.7
Goaltending GSAx+31.7
Goal difference GD+43

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say42-33-791.4 pts
Actually50-26-6106 pts

14.6 points ahead of their chances.

xGF% 5v550.215th of 32
HDCF% 5v551.314th of 32
GF−xGF+2.715th of 32
GSAx+31.72nd of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 16@ NSHL 1-5
  • Apr 14@ DETL 4-6
  • Apr 12vs UTAL 3-5
  • Apr 10vs WPGL 0-4
  • Apr 8vs VANOTL 5-6

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 17.

ESC
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  • PAGE Playoff odds and the Cup
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  • PAGE What if? Player swap change a roster
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