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Nashville Predators

#29 Puckigree (final) · −8.330-44-8 · 30th in standingsCentral · Western
Why #29 at season’s end
Puckigree#29 · −8.3Standings30thChance share (xGF% 5v5)18thSchedule faced5th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record30-44-8Points68Games82Goals for – against214–274
CF%50.213th of 32
GF/GP2.5931st of 32
GA/GP3.3427th of 32
PP%21.918th of 32
PK%81.57th of 32
PDO97.032nd of 32
SV% 5v5.89930th of 32
SF/GP29.39th of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMissed the playoffs
Highest along the way32%
Playoff chance through the season: high 32% (Oct 12), low 0% (Mar 3). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+32.6goals above replacement · 29th of 32
Forwards +30.4Defence +9.9Goalies −7.7

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
JosiD+3.7
NovakC+3.3
SmithR+2.1
AnnunenGSAx −8.9G−4.9
WedgewoodGSAx −4.0G−3.1
ParssinenC−1.1

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD−0.5
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+2.6
Finishing GF−xGF−34.7
Goaltending GSAx−23.4
Goal difference GD-56

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say41-34-789.4 pts
Actually30-44-868 pts

21.4 points behind their chances.

xGF% 5v549.318th of 32
HDCF% 5v549.919th of 32
GF−xGF−34.732nd of 32
GSAx−23.429th of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 16vs DALW 5-1
  • Apr 14vs UTAL 3-7
  • Apr 12@ VGKL 3-5
  • Apr 10@ UTAW 4-3
  • Apr 8vs NYIW 7-6

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 17.

ESC
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