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Nashville Predators

#14 Puckigree (final) · +2.147-30-5 · 11th in standingsCentral · Western
Why #14 at season’s end
Puckigree#14 · +2.1Standings11thChance share (xGF% 5v5)11thSchedule faced22nd hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record47-30-5Points99Games82Goals for – against269–248
CF%51.111th of 32
GF/GP3.2410th of 32
GA/GP3.0214th of 32
PP%21.616th of 32
PK%76.922nd of 32
PDO100.414th of 32
SV% 5v5.9227th of 32
SF/GP32.28th of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way19%
Playoff chance through the season: high 100% (Apr 10), low 19% (Nov 13). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+71.6goals above replacement · 13th of 32
Forwards +39.6Defence +14.8Goalies +17.2

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
ForsbergL+13.0
JosiD+10.3
SarosGSAx −3.7G+8.3
LankinenGSAx +3.2G+7.0
NovakC+5.1
SchennD−3.8
BarrieD−3.5
LauzonD−1.6

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+19.2
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+3.6
Finishing GF−xGF−7.0
Goaltending GSAx+1.2
Goal difference GD+17

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say44-31-795.3 pts
Actually47-30-599 pts

3.7 points ahead of their chances.

xGF% 5v552.311th of 32
HDCF% 5v553.84th of 32
GF−xGF−7.022nd of 32
GSAx+1.214th of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 15@ PITL 2-4
  • Apr 13vs CBJW 6-4
  • Apr 12@ CHIW 5-1
  • Apr 9vs WPGOTL 3-4
  • Apr 7@ NJDW 3-2

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 18.

ESC
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