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PIT

Pittsburgh Penguins

#16 Puckigree (final) · +1.238-32-12 · 20th in standingsMetropolitan · Eastern
Why #16 at season’s end
Puckigree#16 · +1.2Standings20thChance share (xGF% 5v5)14thSchedule faced17th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record38-32-12Points88Games82Goals for – against255–251
CF%51.013th of 32
GF/GP3.0919th of 32
GA/GP3.0215th of 32
PP%15.330th of 32
PK%80.711th of 32
PDO99.821st of 32
SV% 5v5.91217th of 32
SF/GP32.76th of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMissed the playoffs
Highest along the way65%
Playoff chance through the season: high 65% (Oct 16), low 0% (Apr 17). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+76.8goals above replacement · 11th of 32
Forwards +41.2Defence +13.3Goalies +22.4

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
JarryGSAx +4.8G+14.3
CrosbyC+12.7
NedeljkovicGSAx −0.4G+6.8
MalkinC+5.4
RakellR+4.2
CarterC−2.1
LetangD−1.0
JosephD−0.9

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+6.6
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+8.6
Finishing GF−xGF−27.4
Goaltending GSAx+5.3
Goal difference GD-7

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say43-32-793.3 pts
Actually38-32-1288 pts

5.3 points behind their chances.

xGF% 5v551.114th of 32
HDCF% 5v552.311th of 32
GF−xGF−27.432nd of 32
GSAx+5.312th of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 17@ NYIL 4-5
  • Apr 15vs NSHW 4-2
  • Apr 13vs BOSL 4-6
  • Apr 11vs DETW 6-5
  • Apr 8@ TOROTL 2-3

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 18.

ESC
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