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BOS

Boston Bruins

#3 Puckigree (final) · +9.947-20-15 · 7th in standingsAtlantic · Eastern
Why #3 at season’s end
Puckigree#3 · +9.9Standings7thChance share (xGF% 5v5)17thSchedule faced20th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record47-20-15Points109Games82Goals for – against267–224
CF%47.624th of 32
GF/GP3.2114th of 32
GA/GP2.706th of 32
PP%22.214th of 32
PK%82.57th of 32
PDO102.72nd of 32
SV% 5v5.9303rd of 32
SF/GP29.322nd of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way97%
Playoff chance through the season: high 100% (Jan 27), low 97% (Oct 16). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+104.3goals above replacement · 5th of 32
Forwards +46.6Defence +11.7Goalies +46.0

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
SwaymanGSAx +15.3G+24.2
UllmarkGSAx +13.6G+21.9
PastrnakR+14.6
DeBruskL+7.8
McAvoyD+5.7
GrzelcykD−2.6
LohreiD−2.5
MitchellD−2.2

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+2.5
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD−0.9
Finishing GF−xGF+8.5
Goaltending GSAx+28.9
Goal difference GD+39

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say41-34-788.6 pts
Actually47-20-15109 pts

20.4 points ahead of their chances.

xGF% 5v550.717th of 32
HDCF% 5v550.020th of 32
GF−xGF+8.511th of 32
GSAx+28.92nd of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 16vs OTTL 1-3
  • Apr 15@ WSHL 0-2
  • Apr 13@ PITW 6-4
  • Apr 9vs CARL 1-4
  • Apr 6vs FLAW 3-2

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 18.

ESC
  • PAGE Rankings this week
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  • PAGE Playoff odds and the Cup
  • PAGE Compare two teams any matchup
  • PAGE What if? Player swap change a roster
  • PAGE What if? Goalie swap replay a game