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Ottawa Senators

#26 Puckigree (final) · −5.337-41-4 · 26th in standingsAtlantic · Eastern
Why #26 at season’s end
Puckigree#26 · −5.3Standings26thChance share (xGF% 5v5)19thSchedule faced4th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record37-41-4Points78Games82Goals for – against255–281
CF%50.218th of 32
GF/GP3.0520th of 32
GA/GP3.4327th of 32
PP%18.023rd of 32
PK%75.129th of 32
PDO98.329th of 32
SV% 5v5.90030th of 32
SF/GP31.710th of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMissed the playoffs
Highest along the way53%
Playoff chance through the season: high 53% (Oct 16), low 0% (Mar 6). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+20.8goals above replacement · 28th of 32
Forwards +36.0Defence +9.6Goalies −24.8

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
TkachukL+16.9
GirouxR+9.9
ChabotD+6.1
BrannstromD+6.0
GreigC+3.2
KorpisaloGSAx −24.8G−14.7
SogaardGSAx −8.8G−8.0
KubalikL−5.5

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+0.8
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+13.4
Finishing GF−xGF−7.6
Goaltending GSAx−40.7
Goal difference GD-34

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say43-32-793.1 pts
Actually37-41-478 pts

15.1 points behind their chances.

xGF% 5v549.519th of 32
HDCF% 5v550.219th of 32
GF−xGF−7.624th of 32
GSAx−40.732nd of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 16@ BOSW 3-1
  • Apr 15@ NYRL 0-4
  • Apr 13vs MTLW 5-4
  • Apr 11@ TBLW 3-2
  • Apr 9@ FLAL 0-2

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 18.

ESC
  • PAGE Rankings this week
  • PAGE Timeline 2026–27 nightly
  • PAGE 2025–26 rewind weekly
  • PAGE 2024–25 rewind weekly
  • PAGE 2023–24 rewind weekly
  • PAGE 2022–23 rewind weekly
  • PAGE Playoff odds and the Cup
  • PAGE Compare two teams any matchup
  • PAGE What if? Player swap change a roster
  • PAGE What if? Goalie swap replay a game