Tampa Bay Lightning
Why #11 at season’s end
Puckigree#11 · +4.4Standings13thChance share (xGF% 5v5)18thSchedule faced18th hardest
Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.
Final
Record45-29-8Points98Games82Goals for – against291–268
CF%50.317th of 32
GF/GP3.515th of 32
GA/GP3.2623rd of 32
PP%28.61st of 32
PK%83.35th of 32
PDO99.425th of 32
SV% 5v5.90029th of 32
SF/GP29.321st of 32
Playoff odds
From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way30%
Player Puckigree
How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →Roster total+56.3goals above replacement · 17th of 32
Forwards +58.3Defence +6.9Goalies −9.0
Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.
Chances
From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+4.4
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+9.9
Finishing GF−xGF+24.3
Goaltending GSAx−24.6
Goal difference GD+14
Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.
Record by the chances
Chances say44-31-794.7 pts
Actually45-29-898 pts
3.3 points ahead of their chances.
xGF% 5v550.518th of 32
HDCF% 5v550.916th of 32
GF−xGF+24.33rd of 32
GSAx−24.630th of 32
LeadersFull roster →
- RNikita Kucherov44-100-144
- CBrayden Point46-44-90
- CSteven Stamkos40-41-81
- DVictor Hedman13-63-76
- LBrandon Hagel26-49-75
- GAndrei Vasilevskiy52 GP · .900
- GJonas Johansson26 GP · .890
- GMatt Tomkins6 GP · .892
Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 18.