Tampa Bay Lightning
Why #4 at season’s end
Puckigree#4 · +7.3Standings5thChance share (xGF% 5v5)5thSchedule faced13th hardest
Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.
Final
Record50-26-6Points106Games82Goals for – against290–231
CF%53.03rd of 32
GF/GP3.494th of 32
GA/GP2.793rd of 32
PP%20.717th of 32
PK%82.63rd of 32
PDO101.95th of 32
SV% 5v5.90812th of 32
SF/GP28.115th of 32
Playoff odds
From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way42%
Player Puckigree
How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →Roster total+107.4goals above replacement · 3rd of 32
Forwards +74.1Defence +7.2Goalies +26.1
Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.
Chances
From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+25.1
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+1.9
Finishing GF−xGF+11.0
Goaltending GSAx+11.1
Goal difference GD+49
Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.
Record by the chances
Chances say45-30-797.1 pts
Actually50-26-6106 pts
8.9 points ahead of their chances.
xGF% 5v553.65th of 32
HDCF% 5v555.72nd of 32
GF−xGF+11.07th of 32
GSAx+11.110th of 32
LeadersFull roster →
- RNikita Kucherov44-86-130
- CJake Guentzel38-50-88
- LBrandon Hagel36-38-74
- DDarren Raddysh22-48-70
- CAnthony Cirelli23-29-52
- GAndrei Vasilevskiy58 GP · .912
- GJonas Johansson25 GP · .884
- GBrandon Halverson2 GP · .809
Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 16.