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MTL

Montréal Canadiens

#8 Puckigree (final) · +4.548-24-10 · 6th in standingsAtlantic · Eastern
Why #8 at season’s end
Puckigree#8 · +4.5Standings6thChance share (xGF% 5v5)18thSchedule faced10th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record48-24-10Points106Games82Goals for – against283–256
CF%48.225th of 32
GF/GP3.407th of 32
GA/GP3.0617th of 32
PP%23.110th of 32
PK%78.218th of 32
PDO101.96th of 32
SV% 5v5.90614th of 32
SF/GP26.324th of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way35%
Playoff chance through the season: high 100% (Apr 2), low 35% (Dec 10). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+86.1goals above replacement · 8th of 32
Forwards +36.3Defence +16.6Goalies +33.2

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
DobesGSAx +12.3G+20.7
HutsonD+16.1
CaufieldR+12.9
FowlerGSAx +9.4G+12.5
SuzukiC+10.1
DemidovR+5.5
BolducR+5.4
XhekajD−4.7
VelenoC−3.5
MathesonD−2.9

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD−0.7
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD−2.5
Finishing GF−xGF+11.0
Goaltending GSAx+17.2
Goal difference GD+25

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say41-35-688.1 pts
Actually48-24-10106 pts

17.9 points ahead of their chances.

xGF% 5v550.018th of 32
HDCF% 5v546.328th of 32
GF−xGF+11.08th of 32
GSAx+17.27th of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 14@ PHIL 2-4
  • Apr 12@ NYIW 4-1
  • Apr 11vs CBJL 2-5
  • Apr 9vs TBLW 2-1
  • Apr 7vs FLAW 4-3

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 16.

ESC
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