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MTL

Montréal Canadiens

#21 Puckigree (final) · −1.540-31-11 · 17th in standingsAtlantic · Eastern
Why #21 at season’s end
Puckigree#21 · −1.5Standings17thChance share (xGF% 5v5)24thSchedule faced8th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record40-31-11Points91Games82Goals for – against245–265
CF%47.827th of 32
GF/GP2.9617th of 32
GA/GP3.1823rd of 32
PP%20.121st of 32
PK%80.99th of 32
PDO99.621st of 32
SV% 5v5.90125th of 32
SF/GP25.630th of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way2%
Playoff chance through the season: high 100% (Apr 17), low 2% (Dec 15). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+56.5goals above replacement · 17th of 32
Forwards +25.8Defence −4.2Goalies +35.0

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
MontembeaultGSAx +23.1G+35.1
DobesGSAx +6.1G+9.3
SuzukiC+8.0
HutsonD+6.9
EvansC+5.6
DachC+2.1
PrimeauGSAx −11.2G−9.3
XhekajD−4.9
SavardD−4.9

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD−18.3
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD−13.1
Finishing GF−xGF−5.6
Goaltending GSAx+18.1
Goal difference GD-19

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say36-39-779.4 pts
Actually40-31-1191 pts

11.6 points ahead of their chances.

xGF% 5v547.924th of 32
HDCF% 5v546.128th of 32
GF−xGF−5.621st of 32
GSAx+18.16th of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 16vs CARW 4-2
  • Apr 14vs CHIOTL 3-4
  • Apr 12@ TOROTL 0-1
  • Apr 11@ OTTL 2-5
  • Apr 8vs DETW 4-1

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 17.

ESC
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