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Ottawa Senators

#14 Puckigree (final) · +1.145-30-7 · 12th in standingsAtlantic · Eastern
Why #14 at season’s end
Puckigree#14 · +1.1Standings12thChance share (xGF% 5v5)16thSchedule faced17th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record45-30-7Points97Games82Goals for – against243–234
CF%49.817th of 32
GF/GP2.9518th of 32
GA/GP2.8313th of 32
PP%23.811th of 32
PK%77.719th of 32
PDO98.926th of 32
SV% 5v5.91312th of 32
SF/GP29.38th of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way12%
Playoff chance through the season: high 100% (Apr 7), low 12% (Nov 23). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+68.9goals above replacement · 14th of 32
Forwards +38.4Defence +14.2Goalies +16.3

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
TkachukL+12.5
UllmarkGSAx +3.9G+12.1
ChabotD+9.4
GirouxR+5.3
MerilainenGSAx +2.9G+4.9
HamonicD−5.7
SogaardGSAx −3.1G−2.8
GregorL−2.6

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+1.9
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+5.8
Finishing GF−xGF+2.8
Goaltending GSAx+0.5
Goal difference GD+11

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say42-33-791.4 pts
Actually45-30-797 pts

5.6 points ahead of their chances.

xGF% 5v550.216th of 32
HDCF% 5v550.117th of 32
GF−xGF+2.814th of 32
GSAx+0.515th of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 17vs CARW 7-5
  • Apr 15vs CHIOTL 3-4
  • Apr 13vs PHIW 4-3
  • Apr 11vs MTLW 5-2
  • Apr 8@ CBJL 2-5

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 17.

ESC
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  • PAGE What if? Player swap change a roster
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