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CAR

Carolina Hurricanes

#8 Puckigree (final) · +5.547-30-5 · 10th in standingsMetropolitan · Eastern
Why #8 at season’s end
Puckigree#8 · +5.5Standings10thChance share (xGF% 5v5)1stSchedule faced22nd hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record47-30-5Points99Games82Goals for – against266–233
CF%58.41st of 32
GF/GP3.249th of 32
GA/GP2.8010th of 32
PP%18.725th of 32
PK%83.61st of 32
PDO98.330th of 32
SV% 5v5.89531st of 32
SF/GP31.72nd of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way70%
Playoff chance through the season: high 100% (Mar 17), low 70% (Oct 12). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+99.0goals above replacement · 6th of 32
Forwards +48.1Defence +37.3Goalies +13.6

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
SlavinD+11.2
AndersenGSAx +6.4G+10.2
AhoC+9.9
JarvisR+9.9
KochetkovGSAx +1.2G+9.1
BurnsD+5.5
MartinGSAx −6.4G−5.1
RoslovicC−1.6
RantanenR−1.4

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+43.1
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+10.1
Finishing GF−xGF−25.7
Goaltending GSAx−0.4
Goal difference GD+27

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say49-26-7105.1 pts
Actually47-30-599 pts

6.1 points behind their chances.

xGF% 5v555.51st of 32
HDCF% 5v554.05th of 32
GF−xGF−25.731st of 32
GSAx−0.417th of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 17@ OTTL 5-7
  • Apr 16@ MTLL 2-4
  • Apr 13vs TORL 1-4
  • Apr 12vs NYRW 7-3
  • Apr 10@ WSHOTL 4-5

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 17.

ESC
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