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WSH

Washington Capitals

#9 Puckigree (final) · +5.351-22-9 · 2nd in standingsMetropolitan · Eastern
Why #9 at season’s end
Puckigree#9 · +5.3Standings2ndChance share (xGF% 5v5)13thSchedule faced24th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record51-22-9Points111Games82Goals for – against288–232
CF%50.212th of 32
GF/GP3.492nd of 32
GA/GP2.798th of 32
PP%23.513th of 32
PK%82.05th of 32
PDO101.47th of 32
SV% 5v5.90720th of 32
SF/GP27.622nd of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way34%
Playoff chance through the season: high 100% (Jan 15), low 34% (Oct 12). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+98.9goals above replacement · 7th of 32
Forwards +45.7Defence +18.0Goalies +35.2

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
ThompsonGSAx +21.6G+30.0
LindgrenGSAx +2.1G+9.3
ProtasL+8.9
CarlsonD+8.7
DuboisC+7.8
DowdC+7.4
ChychrunD−5.1
ShepardGSAx −3.2G−3.0
OvechkinL−2.4

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+2.4
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD−4.9
Finishing GF−xGF+25.1
Goaltending GSAx+19.3
Goal difference GD+42

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say40-35-787.6 pts
Actually51-22-9111 pts

23.4 points ahead of their chances.

xGF% 5v550.913th of 32
HDCF% 5v552.111th of 32
GF−xGF+25.13rd of 32
GSAx+19.35th of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 17@ PITL 2-5
  • Apr 15@ NYIW 3-1
  • Apr 13vs CBJL 1-4
  • Apr 12@ CBJL 0-7
  • Apr 10vs CARW 5-4

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 17.

ESC
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