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WSH

Washington Capitals

#9 Puckigree · +5.05-4-0 · 21st in standingsMetropolitan · Eastern
Why #9
Puckigree#9 · +5.0Standings21stChance share (xGF% 5v5)19thSchedule faced4th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Next up
CF%46.625th of 32
GF/GP3.3311th of 32
GA/GP3.2220th of 32
PP%20.019th of 32
PK%80.016th of 32
PDO102.66th of 32
SV% 5v5.89820th of 32
SF/GP26.818th of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
Make the playoffs69%
Win the division17%
Win the Cup5%
Projected points10084–115
Playoff chance this season: high 85% (Oct 10), low 49% (Sep 29). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+11.6goals above replacement · 12th of 32
Forwards +3.7Defence +0.4Goalies +7.5

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
ThompsonGSAx +4.8G+6.2
LindgrenGSAx +0.8G+1.2
KyrouR+0.9
WilsonR+0.6
TuchR+0.5
ProtasL+0.3
McIlrathD−0.2
ChychrunD−0.2
OvechkinL−0.2

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+1.4
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD−2.8
Finishing GF−xGF−1.2
Goaltending GSAx+5.6
Goal difference GD+3

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say4-4-19.2 pts
Actually5-4-010 pts

Results match the chances.

xGF% 5v550.419th of 32
HDCF% 5v545.624th of 32
GF−xGF−1.217th of 32
GSAx+5.67th of 32
Recent gamesGame log →
  • Oct 20vs LAKL 2-5
  • Oct 17vs NJDW 4-2
  • Oct 14vs MTLW 5-4
  • Oct 13@ CARL 2-4
  • Oct 11vs SEAL 3-5

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Oct 22.

ESC
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