Carolina Hurricanes
Why #1
Puckigree#1 · +11.0Standings1stChance share (xGF% 5v5)3rdSchedule faced32nd hardest
Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.
CF%59.52nd of 32
GF/GP3.923rd of 32
GA/GP2.677th of 32
PP%23.911th of 32
PK%83.39th of 32
PDO99.118th of 32
SV% 5v5.88824th of 32
SF/GP33.52nd of 32
Playoff odds
From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.Make the playoffs95%
Win the division55%
Win the Cup12%
Projected points11198–124
Player Puckigree
How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →Roster total+15.7goals above replacement · 5th of 32
Forwards +11.3Defence +4.8Goalies −0.4
Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.
Who’s driving it
Chances
From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+8.5
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+5.9
Finishing GF−xGF−0.1
Goaltending GSAx−2.3
Goal difference GD+12
Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.
Record by the chances
Chances say8-3-117.3 pts
Actually8-2-218 pts
Results match the chances.
xGF% 5v559.33rd of 32
HDCF% 5v559.55th of 32
GF−xGF−0.111th of 32
GSAx−2.319th of 32
LeadersFull roster →
- CSebastian Aho7-9-16
- RJackson Blake2-10-12
- RAndrei Svechnikov6-5-11
- CLogan Stankoven7-3-10
- LNikolaj Ehlers3-6-9
- GBrandon Bussi6 GP · .865
- GPyotr Kochetkov6 GP · .899
Source: NHL.com data. Results through Oct 22.