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CAR

Carolina Hurricanes

#1 Puckigree (final) · +10.652-23-7 · 3rd in standingsMetropolitan · Eastern
Why #1 at season’s end
Puckigree#1 · +10.6Standings3rdChance share (xGF% 5v5)2ndSchedule faced25th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record52-23-7Points111Games82Goals for – against279–216
CF%59.11st of 32
GF/GP3.388th of 32
GA/GP2.574th of 32
PP%26.92nd of 32
PK%86.41st of 32
PDO99.126th of 32
SV% 5v5.91216th of 32
SF/GP33.33rd of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way56%
Playoff chance through the season: high 100% (Mar 13), low 56% (Dec 13). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+112.5goals above replacement · 3rd of 32
Forwards +54.8Defence +37.4Goalies +20.3

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
AndersenGSAx +13.4G+16.2
SlavinD+11.9
KochetkovGSAx +4.4G+11.0
AhoC+10.4
JarvisR+10.3
BurnsD+7.5
OrlovD+6.2
RaantaGSAx −11.5G−8.2
KuznetsovC−2.8
DeAngeloD−2.5

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+39.9
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+14.3
Finishing GF−xGF−2.6
Goaltending GSAx+6.5
Goal difference GD+58

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say50-26-6105.8 pts
Actually52-23-7111 pts

5.2 points ahead of their chances.

xGF% 5v555.82nd of 32
HDCF% 5v556.22nd of 32
GF−xGF−2.618th of 32
GSAx+6.510th of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 16@ CBJL 3-6
  • Apr 14@ CHIW 4-2
  • Apr 12@ STLW 5-2
  • Apr 9@ BOSW 4-1
  • Apr 7vs CBJW 3-0

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 18.

ESC
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