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CAR

Carolina Hurricanes

#4 Puckigree (final) · +9.452-21-9 · 2nd in standingsMetropolitan · Eastern
Why #4 at season’s end
Puckigree#4 · +9.4Standings2ndChance share (xGF% 5v5)1stSchedule faced21st hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record52-21-9Points113Games82Goals for – against266–213
CF%60.41st of 32
GF/GP3.2015th of 32
GA/GP2.562nd of 32
PP%19.820th of 32
PK%84.42nd of 32
PDO99.223rd of 32
SV% 5v5.91416th of 32
SF/GP34.83rd of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way85%
Playoff chance through the season: high 100% (Jan 26), low 85% (Nov 28). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+93.4goals above replacement · 6th of 32
Forwards +47.3Defence +28.2Goalies +17.9

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
AhoC+10.8
KochetkovGSAx +6.7G+10.7
SlavinD+9.0
RaantaGSAx +3.1G+7.3
BurnsD+6.4
FastR+5.0
AndersenGSAx −5.5G−0.1

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+53.6
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+10.9
Finishing GF−xGF−15.8
Goaltending GSAx+4.3
Goal difference GD+53

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say51-24-7109.2 pts
Actually52-21-9113 pts

3.8 points ahead of their chances.

xGF% 5v557.91st of 32
HDCF% 5v558.51st of 32
GF−xGF−15.825th of 32
GSAx+4.313th of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 13@ FLAW 6-4
  • Apr 11vs DETW 4-1
  • Apr 10@ OTTL 2-3
  • Apr 8@ BUFL 3-4
  • Apr 6@ NSHL 0-3

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 14.

ESC
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