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Ottawa Senators

#22 Puckigree (final) · −2.839-35-8 · 21st in standingsAtlantic · Eastern
Why #22 at season’s end
Puckigree#22 · −2.8Standings21stChance share (xGF% 5v5)16thSchedule faced10th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record39-35-8Points86Games82Goals for – against261–271
CF%51.512th of 32
GF/GP3.1618th of 32
GA/GP3.2920th of 32
PP%23.58th of 32
PK%80.114th of 32
PDO98.229th of 32
SV% 5v5.90724th of 32
SF/GP33.57th of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMissed the playoffs
Highest along the way36%
Playoff chance through the season: high 36% (Oct 23), low 0% (Apr 11). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+55.9goals above replacement · 18th of 32
Forwards +37.2Defence +8.8Goalies +9.8

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
GirouxR+11.2
TkachukL+8.5
BrannstromD+6.6
ChabotD+6.0
ForsbergGSAx −0.3G+5.1
HamonicD−3.5
ZaitsevD−3.0
WatsonL−2.6

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+9.3
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+10.1
Finishing GF−xGF−22.6
Goaltending GSAx−6.7
Goal difference GD-10

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say44-32-693.7 pts
Actually39-35-886 pts

7.7 points behind their chances.

xGF% 5v551.016th of 32
HDCF% 5v551.914th of 32
GF−xGF−22.628th of 32
GSAx−6.718th of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 13@ BUFOTL 3-4
  • Apr 10vs CARW 3-2
  • Apr 8vs TBLW 7-4
  • Apr 6@ FLAL 2-7
  • Apr 4@ CAROTL 2-3

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 14.

ESC
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