Buffalo Sabres
Why #20 at season’s end
Puckigree#20 · −1.4Standings20thChance share (xGF% 5v5)19thSchedule faced6th hardest
Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.
Final
Record42-33-7Points91Games82Goals for – against296–300
CF%51.414th of 32
GF/GP3.573rd of 32
GA/GP3.6226th of 32
PP%23.49th of 32
PK%73.028th of 32
PDO99.718th of 32
SV% 5v5.90329th of 32
SF/GP32.510th of 32
Playoff odds
From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.FinalMissed the playoffs
Highest along the way56%
Player Puckigree
How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →Roster total+41.0goals above replacement · 21st of 32
Forwards +37.4Defence −0.5Goalies +4.1
Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.
Who’s driving it
SkinnerL+8.2
AndersonGSAx +1.1G+6.2
Chances
From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD−3.6
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD−5.1
Finishing GF−xGF+19.6
Goaltending GSAx−12.9
Goal difference GD-2
Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.
Record by the chances
Chances say40-36-686.3 pts
Actually42-33-791 pts
4.7 points ahead of their chances.
xGF% 5v549.619th of 32
HDCF% 5v546.725th of 32
GF−xGF+19.65th of 32
GSAx−12.925th of 32
LeadersFull roster →
- CTage Thompson47-47-94
- LJeff Skinner35-47-82
- RAlex Tuch36-43-79
- DRasmus Dahlin15-58-73
- CDylan Cozens31-37-68
- GUkko-Pekka Luukkonen33 GP · .892
- GCraig Anderson26 GP · .908
- GEric Comrie19 GP · .885
Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 14.