Buffalo Sabres
Why #5 at season’s end
Puckigree#5 · +6.3Standings4thChance share (xGF% 5v5)16thSchedule faced12th hardest
Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.
Final
Record50-23-9Points109Games82Goals for – against288–241
CF%49.614th of 32
GF/GP3.455th of 32
GA/GP2.9311th of 32
PP%19.521st of 32
PK%81.94th of 32
PDO102.04th of 32
SV% 5v5.9148th of 32
SF/GP28.113th of 32
Playoff odds
From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way11%
Player Puckigree
How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →Roster total+99.2goals above replacement · 7th of 32
Forwards +52.2Defence +11.4Goalies +35.6
Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.
Chances
From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD−3.9
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD−0.5
Finishing GF−xGF+20.5
Goaltending GSAx+18.9
Goal difference GD+35
Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.
Record by the chances
Chances say40-35-787.7 pts
Actually50-23-9109 pts
21.3 points ahead of their chances.
xGF% 5v550.516th of 32
HDCF% 5v549.918th of 32
GF−xGF+20.53rd of 32
GSAx+18.95th of 32
LeadersFull roster →
- CTage Thompson40-41-81
- DRasmus Dahlin19-55-74
- RAlex Tuch33-33-66
- CRyan McLeod14-40-54
- RJosh Doan25-27-52
- GAlex Lyon36 GP · .907
- GUkko-Pekka Luukkonen35 GP · .910
- GColten Ellis16 GP · .903
Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 16.