Buffalo Sabres
Why #18
Puckigree#18 · −0.6Standings23rdChance share (xGF% 5v5)11thSchedule faced25th hardest
Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.
CF%52.610th of 32
GF/GP2.8021st of 32
GA/GP3.6026th of 32
PP%11.131st of 32
PK%66.730th of 32
PDO97.028th of 32
SV% 5v5.87731st of 32
SF/GP26.917th of 32
Playoff odds
From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.Make the playoffs35%
Win the division3%
Win the Cup1%
Projected points9076–105
Player Puckigree
How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →Roster total+3.6goals above replacement · 26th of 32
Forwards +4.7Defence +1.5Goalies −2.6
Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.
Chances
From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+3.0
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD−2.4
Finishing GF−xGF−3.1
Goaltending GSAx−4.5
Goal difference GD-7
Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.
Record by the chances
Chances say5-4-111.0 pts
Actually4-4-210 pts
Results match the chances.
xGF% 5v553.311th of 32
HDCF% 5v551.313th of 32
GF−xGF−3.120th of 32
GSAx−4.527th of 32
LeadersFull roster →
- RJack Quinn5-5-10
- CTage Thompson5-4-9
- DOwen Power2-6-8
- CNoah Ostlund2-5-7
- DMattias Samuelsson2-5-7
- GUkko-Pekka Luukkonen8 GP · .864
- GColten Ellis3 GP · .864
Source: NHL.com data. Results through Oct 22.