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TOR

Toronto Maple Leafs

#19 Puckigree · −0.86-4-2 · 11th in standingsAtlantic · Eastern
Why #19
Puckigree#19 · −0.8Standings11thChance share (xGF% 5v5)24thSchedule faced10th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Next up
CF%46.724th of 32
GF/GP3.588th of 32
GA/GP3.1718th of 32
PP%28.64th of 32
PK%97.41st of 32
PDO98.619th of 32
SV% 5v5.88230th of 32
SF/GP28.412th of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
Make the playoffs41%
Win the division3%
Win the Cup1%
Projected points9278–106
Playoff chance this season: high 42% (Oct 22), low 17% (Oct 18). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+10.2goals above replacement · 16th of 32
Forwards +5.4Defence +0.2Goalies +4.7

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
BobrovskyGSAx +1.8G+3.5
StolarzGSAx +0.3G+1.2
CowanR+0.7
TanevD+0.7
TavaresC+0.4
McCabeD+0.4
RiellyD−0.8
RoslovicC−0.3

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD−3.9
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+0.9
Finishing GF−xGF+4.9
Goaltending GSAx+2.1
Goal difference GD+4

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say6-5-112.2 pts
Actually6-4-214 pts

Results match the chances.

xGF% 5v545.724th of 32
HDCF% 5v550.515th of 32
GF−xGF+4.96th of 32
GSAx+2.114th of 32
Recent gamesGame log →
  • Oct 22vs NYRW 5-4
  • Oct 20@ CBJW 6-2
  • Oct 19vs SJSW 3-1
  • Oct 17vs NYIL 1-4
  • Oct 15vs BUFOTL 4-5

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Oct 22.

ESC
  • PAGE Rankings this week
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  • PAGE Playoff odds and the Cup
  • PAGE Compare two teams any matchup
  • PAGE What if? Player swap change a roster
  • PAGE What if? Goalie swap replay a game