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TOR

Toronto Maple Leafs

#26 Puckigree (final) · −4.932-36-14 · 28th in standingsAtlantic · Eastern
Why #26 at season’s end
Puckigree#26 · −4.9Standings28thChance share (xGF% 5v5)29thSchedule faced1st hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record32-36-14Points78Games82Goals for – against253–299
CF%45.532nd of 32
GF/GP3.0716th of 32
GA/GP3.6031st of 32
PP%21.315th of 32
PK%81.28th of 32
PDO100.314th of 32
SV% 5v5.90022nd of 32
SF/GP26.323rd of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMissed the playoffs
Highest along the way68%
Playoff chance through the season: high 68% (Oct 14), low 0% (Mar 19). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+37.8goals above replacement · 29th of 32
Forwards +34.5Defence −10.8Goalies +14.0

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
HildebyGSAx +9.8G+13.8
MatthewsC+12.3
TavaresC+8.2
WollGSAx −3.3G+5.3
McCabeD+4.2
JoshuaC+2.9
BenoitD−9.6
PrimeauGSAx −6.2G−5.7
DomiC−3.6

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD−30.5
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD−18.3
Finishing GF−xGF+14.4
Goaltending GSAx−4.5
Goal difference GD-39

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say34-42-673.9 pts
Actually32-36-1478 pts

4.1 points ahead of their chances.

xGF% 5v545.829th of 32
HDCF% 5v546.427th of 32
GF−xGF+14.46th of 32
GSAx−4.520th of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 15@ OTTL 1-3
  • Apr 13vs DALL 5-6
  • Apr 11vs FLAL 2-6
  • Apr 9@ NYIL 3-5
  • Apr 8vs WSHL 0-4

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 16.

ESC
  • PAGE Rankings this week
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  • PAGE Playoff odds and the Cup
  • PAGE Compare two teams any matchup
  • PAGE What if? Player swap change a roster
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