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TOR

Toronto Maple Leafs

#10 Puckigree (final) · +5.746-26-10 · 10th in standingsAtlantic · Eastern
Why #10 at season’s end
Puckigree#10 · +5.7Standings10thChance share (xGF% 5v5)10thSchedule faced13th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record46-26-10Points102Games82Goals for – against303–263
CF%50.815th of 32
GF/GP3.632nd of 32
GA/GP3.1821st of 32
PP%23.97th of 32
PK%76.923rd of 32
PDO100.79th of 32
SV% 5v5.90924th of 32
SF/GP32.67th of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way64%
Playoff chance through the season: high 100% (Mar 27), low 64% (Jan 20). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+83.7goals above replacement · 10th of 32
Forwards +64.7Defence +10.7Goalies +8.4

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
MatthewsC+27.2
NylanderR+11.7
MarnerR+10.4
WollGSAx +3.8G+8.9
McCabeD+7.3
TavaresC+6.7
JonesGSAx +1.3G+5.2
SamsonovGSAx −13.5G−5.8
DomiC−3.7
BenoitD−3.4

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+21.1
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+7.0
Finishing GF−xGF+18.3
Goaltending GSAx−8.4
Goal difference GD+38

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say45-31-696.4 pts
Actually46-26-10102 pts

5.6 points ahead of their chances.

xGF% 5v552.410th of 32
HDCF% 5v552.97th of 32
GF−xGF+18.36th of 32
GSAx−8.423rd of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 17@ TBLL 4-6
  • Apr 16@ FLAL 2-5
  • Apr 13vs DETOTL 4-5
  • Apr 11vs NJDL 5-6
  • Apr 9@ NJDW 5-2

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 18.

ESC
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