Toronto Maple Leafs
Why #3 at season’s end
Puckigree#3 · +8.6Standings4thChance share (xGF% 5v5)14thSchedule faced23rd hardest
Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.
Final
Record52-26-4Points108Games82Goals for – against268–231
CF%47.728th of 32
GF/GP3.268th of 32
GA/GP2.799th of 32
PP%24.89th of 32
PK%77.917th of 32
PDO102.03rd of 32
SV% 5v5.9262nd of 32
SF/GP28.019th of 32
Playoff odds
From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way57%
Player Puckigree
How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →Roster total+106.2goals above replacement · 4th of 32
Forwards +53.1Defence +12.5Goalies +40.6
Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.
Chances
From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+1.5
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD−1.9
Finishing GF−xGF+12.8
Goaltending GSAx+23.6
Goal difference GD+36
Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.
Record by the chances
Chances say41-34-788.4 pts
Actually52-26-4108 pts
19.6 points ahead of their chances.
xGF% 5v550.414th of 32
HDCF% 5v551.413th of 32
GF−xGF+12.89th of 32
GSAx+23.64th of 32
LeadersFull roster →
- RMitch Marner27-75-102
- RWilliam Nylander45-39-84
- CAuston Matthews33-45-78
- CJohn Tavares38-36-74
- LMatthew Knies29-29-58
- GJoseph Woll42 GP · .909
- GAnthony Stolarz34 GP · .926
- GDennis Hildeby6 GP · .878
Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 17.