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Tampa Bay Lightning

#5 Puckigree (final) · +7.247-27-8 · 7th in standingsAtlantic · Eastern
Why #5 at season’s end
Puckigree#5 · +7.2Standings7thChance share (xGF% 5v5)9thSchedule faced20th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record47-27-8Points102Games82Goals for – against294–219
CF%50.311th of 32
GF/GP3.561st of 32
GA/GP2.634th of 32
PP%25.95th of 32
PK%81.66th of 32
PDO102.51st of 32
SV% 5v5.9234th of 32
SF/GP28.513th of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way60%
Playoff chance through the season: high 100% (Mar 17), low 60% (Nov 9). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+114.5goals above replacement · 3rd of 32
Forwards +75.0Defence +6.4Goalies +33.1

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
VasilevskiyGSAx +22.2G+33.8
KucherovR+16.8
GuentzelC+15.1
HagelL+14.3
CirelliC+11.7
PointC+9.1
LillebergD−4.6
GlendeningC−2.5
HalversonGSAx −2.2G−2.0

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+16.0
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+13.3
Finishing GF−xGF+18.2
Goaltending GSAx+17.5
Goal difference GD+65

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say46-30-698.1 pts
Actually47-27-8102 pts

3.9 points ahead of their chances.

xGF% 5v552.19th of 32
HDCF% 5v553.67th of 32
GF−xGF+18.28th of 32
GSAx+17.57th of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 17@ NYRL 0-4
  • Apr 15vs FLAW 5-1
  • Apr 13vs BUFW 7-4
  • Apr 11vs DETOTL 3-4
  • Apr 9vs TOROTL 3-4

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 17.

ESC
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