Tampa Bay Lightning
Why #10 at season’s end
Puckigree#10 · +5.2Standings13thChance share (xGF% 5v5)14thSchedule faced17th hardest
Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.
Final
Record46-30-6Points98Games82Goals for – against283–254
CF%51.413th of 32
GF/GP3.418th of 32
GA/GP3.0714th of 32
PP%25.43rd of 32
PK%79.715th of 32
PDO100.79th of 32
SV% 5v5.91911th of 32
SF/GP32.013th of 32
Playoff odds
From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way60%
Player Puckigree
How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →Roster total+82.5goals above replacement · 10th of 32
Forwards +47.9Defence +7.5Goalies +27.1
Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.
Chances
From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+16.8
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+6.6
Finishing GF−xGF−6.2
Goaltending GSAx+10.8
Goal difference GD+28
Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.
Record by the chances
Chances say45-31-695.6 pts
Actually46-30-698 pts
2.4 points ahead of their chances.
xGF% 5v552.014th of 32
HDCF% 5v552.711th of 32
GF−xGF−6.218th of 32
GSAx+10.811th of 32
LeadersFull roster →
- RNikita Kucherov30-83-113
- CBrayden Point51-44-95
- CSteven Stamkos34-50-84
- LBrandon Hagel30-34-64
- LAlex Killorn27-37-64
- GAndrei Vasilevskiy60 GP · .915
- GBrian Elliott22 GP · .891
Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 14.