Tampa Bay Lightning
Why #2
Puckigree#2 · +9.9Standings7thChance share (xGF% 5v5)4thSchedule faced17th hardest
Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.
CF%55.86th of 32
GF/GP3.4410th of 32
GA/GP2.566th of 32
PP%12.928th of 32
PK%79.217th of 32
PDO102.19th of 32
SV% 5v5.90914th of 32
SF/GP29.88th of 32
Playoff odds
From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.Make the playoffs91%
Win the division43%
Win the Cup11%
Projected points11095–124
Player Puckigree
How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →Roster total+13.2goals above replacement · 8th of 32
Forwards +7.3Defence +1.5Goalies +4.4
Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.
Chances
From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+4.0
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+1.2
Finishing GF−xGF−1.1
Goaltending GSAx+2.9
Goal difference GD+7
Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.
Record by the chances
Chances say5-3-111.3 pts
Actually7-2-014 pts
2.7 points ahead of their chances.
xGF% 5v556.04th of 32
HDCF% 5v556.86th of 32
GF−xGF−1.116th of 32
GSAx+2.911th of 32
LeadersFull roster →
- RNikita Kucherov4-9-13
- LBrandon Hagel7-5-12
- CJake Guentzel4-5-9
- CBrayden Point1-5-6
- CAnthony Cirelli3-2-5
- GAndrei Vasilevskiy7 GP · .898
- GDennis Hildeby2 GP · .920
Source: NHL.com data. Results through Oct 22.