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DET

Detroit Red Wings

#21 Puckigree · −2.44-3-3 · 20th in standingsAtlantic · Eastern
Why #21
Puckigree#21 · −2.4Standings20thChance share (xGF% 5v5)14thSchedule faced27th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Next up
CF%53.08th of 32
GF/GP2.7023rd of 32
GA/GP2.809th of 32
PP%22.214th of 32
PK%69.426th of 32
PDO100.214th of 32
SV% 5v5.9217th of 32
SF/GP29.97th of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
Make the playoffs31%
Win the division2%
Win the Cup1%
Projected points8975–103
Playoff chance this season: high 48% (Sep 30), low 17% (Oct 14). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+11.3goals above replacement · 13th of 32
Forwards +7.1Defence −1.0Goalies +5.2

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
TarasovGSAx +4.8G+5.4
LarkinC+1.4
SeiderD+1.1
RaymondL+0.8
ChiarotD−1.4
JohanssonD−0.8
FaulkD−0.7

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+1.1
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD−0.0
Finishing GF−xGF−5.4
Goaltending GSAx+3.4
Goal difference GD-1

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say5-4-111.2 pts
Actually4-3-311 pts

Results match the chances.

xGF% 5v551.514th of 32
HDCF% 5v560.92nd of 32
GF−xGF−5.429th of 32
GSAx+3.410th of 32
Recent gamesGame log →
  • Oct 22@ VANW 5-2
  • Oct 20@ SEAOTL 3-4
  • Oct 17vs SJSW 4-3
  • Oct 15vs PHIW 2-1
  • Oct 13vs NJDOTL 4-5

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Oct 22.

ESC
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