Toronto Maple Leafs
Why #3 at season’s end
Puckigree#3 · +11.1Standings4thChance share (xGF% 5v5)4thSchedule faced25th hardest
Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.
Final
Record50-21-11Points111Games82Goals for – against279–222
CF%51.116th of 32
GF/GP3.399th of 32
GA/GP2.687th of 32
PP%26.02nd of 32
PK%81.912th of 32
PDO101.33rd of 32
SV% 5v5.9248th of 32
SF/GP32.012th of 32
Playoff odds
From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way54%
Player Puckigree
How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →Roster total+114.7goals above replacement · 2nd of 32
Forwards +59.7Defence +20.0Goalies +35.1
Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.
Chances
From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+31.4
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+13.0
Finishing GF−xGF−8.7
Goaltending GSAx+19.2
Goal difference GD+55
Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.
Record by the chances
Chances say47-28-7100.9 pts
Actually50-21-11111 pts
10.1 points ahead of their chances.
xGF% 5v554.44th of 32
HDCF% 5v555.44th of 32
GF−xGF−8.721st of 32
GSAx+19.28th of 32
LeadersFull roster →
- RMitch Marner30-69-99
- RWilliam Nylander40-47-87
- CAuston Matthews40-45-85
- CJohn Tavares36-44-80
- LMichael Bunting23-26-49
- GIlya Samsonov42 GP · .919
- GMatt Murray26 GP · .903
- GErik Kallgren10 GP · .898
Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 14.