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FLA

Florida Panthers

#11 Puckigree (final) · +5.242-32-8 · 17th in standingsAtlantic · Eastern
Why #11 at season’s end
Puckigree#11 · +5.2Standings17thChance share (xGF% 5v5)5thSchedule faced12th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record42-32-8Points92Games82Goals for – against290–273
CF%54.33rd of 32
GF/GP3.516th of 32
GA/GP3.3221st of 32
PP%22.810th of 32
PK%75.923rd of 32
PDO100.317th of 32
SV% 5v5.91812th of 32
SF/GP36.81st of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way15%
Playoff chance through the season: high 100% (Apr 11), low 15% (Jan 12). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+75.9goals above replacement · 14th of 32
Forwards +57.9Defence +11.4Goalies +6.5

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
TkachukL+21.9
BarkovC+9.2
LyonGSAx +5.0G+8.2
MontourD+3.7
MahuraD+3.4
KnightGSAx −8.0G−4.0
ForslingD−2.4
WhiteC−1.7

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+32.1
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+12.6
Finishing GF−xGF−14.7
Goaltending GSAx−10.0
Goal difference GD+20

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say48-28-6101.6 pts
Actually42-32-892 pts

9.6 points behind their chances.

xGF% 5v554.15th of 32
HDCF% 5v553.110th of 32
GF−xGF−14.724th of 32
GSAx−10.022nd of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 13vs CARL 4-6
  • Apr 10vs TOROTL 1-2
  • Apr 8@ WSHW 4-2
  • Apr 6vs OTTW 7-2
  • Apr 4vs BUFW 2-1

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 14.

ESC
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