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Ottawa Senators

#7 Puckigree (final) · +5.144-27-11 · 9th in standingsAtlantic · Eastern
Why #7 at season’s end
Puckigree#7 · +5.1Standings9thChance share (xGF% 5v5)3rdSchedule faced14th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record44-27-11Points99Games82Goals for – against278–246
CF%52.65th of 32
GF/GP3.358th of 32
GA/GP2.9913th of 32
PP%24.08th of 32
PK%75.729th of 32
PDO99.321st of 32
SV% 5v5.89327th of 32
SF/GP28.99th of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way7%
Playoff chance through the season: high 100% (Apr 16), low 7% (Jan 24). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+66.1goals above replacement · 19th of 32
Forwards +56.5Defence +30.4Goalies −20.8

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
TkachukL+11.1
SpenceD+10.7
BathersonR+10.3
GirouxR+6.9
ChabotD+6.7
AmadioR+6.5
CozensC+4.4
MerilainenGSAx −21.7G−18.6
SogaardGSAx −2.2G−1.9
KlevenD−1.3

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+37.6
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+12.9
Finishing GF−xGF+4.4
Goaltending GSAx−35.0
Goal difference GD+20

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say49-26-7105.0 pts
Actually44-27-1199 pts

6.0 points behind their chances.

xGF% 5v555.73rd of 32
HDCF% 5v553.75th of 32
GF−xGF+4.412th of 32
GSAx−35.032nd of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 15vs TORW 3-1
  • Apr 12@ NJDOTL 3-4
  • Apr 11@ NYIW 3-0
  • Apr 9vs FLAW 5-1
  • Apr 7vs TBLW 6-2

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 16.

ESC
  • PAGE Rankings this week
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  • PAGE Playoff odds and the Cup
  • PAGE Compare two teams any matchup
  • PAGE What if? Player swap change a roster
  • PAGE What if? Goalie swap replay a game