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DAL

Dallas Stars

#3 Puckigree (final) · +8.450-20-12 · 3rd in standingsCentral · Western
Why #3 at season’s end
Puckigree#3 · +8.4Standings3rdChance share (xGF% 5v5)9thSchedule faced27th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record50-20-12Points112Games82Goals for – against279–226
CF%47.127th of 32
GF/GP3.339th of 32
GA/GP2.712nd of 32
PP%28.62nd of 32
PK%80.313th of 32
PDO102.41st of 32
SV% 5v5.9167th of 32
SF/GP25.330th of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way60%
Playoff chance through the season: high 100% (Feb 26), low 60% (Oct 21). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+107.4goals above replacement · 4th of 32
Forwards +58.4Defence +19.1Goalies +29.9

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
RobertsonL+20.0
OettingerGSAx +7.5G+17.2
DeSmithGSAx +7.2G+12.6
JohnstonC+10.3
LindellD+8.2
HintzC+6.6
SteelC+4.8
LyubushkinD−3.5
PetrovicD−1.7
BennL−0.9

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+9.0
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+9.1
Finishing GF−xGF+20.1
Goaltending GSAx+14.7
Goal difference GD+53

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say44-31-794.4 pts
Actually50-20-12112 pts

17.6 points ahead of their chances.

xGF% 5v551.29th of 32
HDCF% 5v552.710th of 32
GF−xGF+20.14th of 32
GSAx+14.79th of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 15@ BUFW 4-3
  • Apr 13@ TORW 6-5
  • Apr 11vs NYRW 2-0
  • Apr 9vs MINW 5-4
  • Apr 7vs CGYW 4-3

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 16.

ESC
  • PAGE Rankings this week
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  • PAGE Playoff odds and the Cup
  • PAGE Compare two teams any matchup
  • PAGE What if? Player swap change a roster
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