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BUF

Buffalo Sabres

#18 Puckigree (final) · −1.039-37-6 · 22nd in standingsAtlantic · Eastern
Why #18 at season’s end
Puckigree#18 · −1.0Standings22ndChance share (xGF% 5v5)23rdSchedule faced15th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record39-37-6Points84Games82Goals for – against246–244
CF%50.716th of 32
GF/GP2.9823rd of 32
GA/GP2.9612th of 32
PP%16.629th of 32
PK%79.813th of 32
PDO100.217th of 32
SV% 5v5.91414th of 32
SF/GP30.915th of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMissed the playoffs
Highest along the way41%
Playoff chance through the season: high 41% (Nov 6), low 0% (Apr 10). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+51.0goals above replacement · 19th of 32
Forwards +18.7Defence +5.9Goalies +26.5

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
LuukkonenGSAx +10.6G+20.7
DahlinD+11.9
PeterkaR+7.3
LeviGSAx +2.2G+6.7
TuchR+3.3
SkinnerL+2.4
KrebsC−2.8
RobinsonL−2.5
JokiharjuD−1.9

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD−3.4
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD−11.2
Finishing GF−xGF+0.5
Goaltending GSAx+10.1
Goal difference GD-4

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say39-36-784.6 pts
Actually39-37-684 pts

Results match the chances.

xGF% 5v548.923rd of 32
HDCF% 5v546.425th of 32
GF−xGF+0.516th of 32
GSAx+10.17th of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 15@ TBLW 4-2
  • Apr 13@ FLAOTL 2-3
  • Apr 11vs WSHW 4-2
  • Apr 9@ DALL 2-3
  • Apr 7@ DETL 1-3

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 18.

ESC
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