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PIT

Pittsburgh Penguins

#13 Puckigree (final) · +1.941-25-16 · 10th in standingsMetropolitan · Eastern
Why #13 at season’s end
Puckigree#13 · +1.9Standings10thChance share (xGF% 5v5)14thSchedule faced11th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record41-25-16Points98Games82Goals for – against293–268
CF%50.213th of 32
GF/GP3.543rd of 32
GA/GP3.1524th of 32
PP%24.17th of 32
PK%81.46th of 32
PDO101.28th of 32
SV% 5v5.90120th of 32
SF/GP28.610th of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMade the playoffs
Lowest along the way18%
Playoff chance through the season: high 100% (Apr 9), low 18% (Dec 27). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+84.9goals above replacement · 10th of 32
Forwards +57.6Defence +11.8Goalies +15.5

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
CrosbyC+9.6
JarryGSAx +6.2G+9.0
SkinnerGSAx +3.0G+8.3
NovakC+7.3
ManthaR+6.7
DewarC+6.3
RakellR+5.8
LetangD−3.9
KulakD−1.8
SilovsGSAx −8.8G−1.5

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+7.0
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+1.5
Finishing GF−xGF+23.3
Goaltending GSAx−0.7
Goal difference GD+31

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say42-33-790.9 pts
Actually41-25-1698 pts

7.1 points ahead of their chances.

xGF% 5v550.814th of 32
HDCF% 5v553.17th of 32
GF−xGF+23.32nd of 32
GSAx−0.718th of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 14@ STLL 5-7
  • Apr 12@ WSHL 0-3
  • Apr 11vs WSHL 3-6
  • Apr 9@ NJDW 5-2
  • Apr 5vs FLAW 5-2

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 16.

ESC
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  • PAGE Compare two teams any matchup
  • PAGE What if? Player swap change a roster
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