LIVE MTL 3 @ CHI 1LIVE TBL 0 @ COL 2MODEL v0.2.0LAST RUN OCT 23, 9:56 PM ET5,248 GAMES BACKTESTED59.1% PICKEDLIVE MTL 3 @ CHI 1LIVE TBL 0 @ COL 2MODEL v0.2.0LAST RUN OCT 23, 9:56 PM ET5,248 GAMES BACKTESTED59.1% PICKED
FLA
Florida Panthers
#23 Puckigree · −3.25-4-2 · 16th in standingsAtlantic · Eastern
As deployed last game
Oct 22 @ PIT, from shift data: the most-used combinations at 5v5, not a projection.
Split up since the game before: Vilmanis–Luostarinen–Lundell
Line board
Forward lines with 27+ minutes together at 5v5. The big number is chance share (xGF%) shrunk toward the team’s 54.3% until a line has enough chances of its own; hover it for the raw value.
Luostarinen line
Vilmanis – Luostarinen – Lundell
61.7%chance share xGF%
68 min · 8 GPGF–GA 2–1CF% 46OZ 46%
Top 68%Depth 18%
Bennett line
Tkachuk – Bennett – Verhaeghe
57.2%chance share xGF%
51 min · 9 GPGF–GA 4–0CF% 51OZ 61%
Top 67%Depth 19%
Tkachuk–Tkachuk–Bennett
Tkachuk – Tkachuk – Bennett
61.3%chance share xGF%
41 min · 8 GPGF–GA 4–4CF% 58OZ 63%
Top 52%Depth 36%
Which lines are workingper 60 at 5v5
Every dot is a forward line with 27+ minutes; grey dots are the rest of the league. Lines are centred on the league’s median line.
Line stability
Top 4 lines’ share of line time47%League rank11th most stableLines used 5+ minutes12Games with shift data9 (2 left out)
Stable lines are a coach’s choice, not a grade. Games are left out when the NHL’s shift chart is missing or doesn’t match the box score.
Defence pairs
Pair
Min
GP
xGF%
CF%
GF–GA
OZ%
vs top
Mikkola–Jones
120
9
56.6
49.2
4–4
62
57%
Forsling–Ekblad
79
6
56.2
47.2
3–6
56
62%
Power play and penalty kill units
The five skaters at 5-on-4 and the four at 4-on-5, with 5+ minutes together.
Unit
Skaters
Min
GF–GA
xGF/60
xGA/60
PP1
Jones, Bennett, Reinhart, Tkachuk, Tkachuk
13
0–0
6.59
3.12
PP2
Jones, Verhaeghe, Reinhart, Tkachuk, Tkachuk
13
5–0
16.33
0.00
PP3
Jones, Reinhart, Tkachuk, Tkachuk, Barkov
6
0–0
6.84
0.00
PK1
Forsling, Luostarinen, Lundell, Ekblad
8
0–0
0.14
7.09
PK2
Mikkola, Jones, Eller, Hathaway
8
0–2
1.15
5.67
Every line
All forward lines with 10+ minutes together at 5v5. Raw and shrunk chance share side by side; k = 4 expected goals.